More Earth Day predictions that went wrong
"in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct” Sen. Gaylord Nelson Earth Day 1970
“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.” • Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day 1970
Earth Day 1970 : Ice Age by 1990! Earth Day 1970 : “We have about five more years at the outside to do something.” • Kenneth Watt, ecologist
“ The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 200. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.” Kenneth Watt, ecologist, Earth Day 1970
Seven failed Earth Day predictions of doom
In an age when everything and everyone has to be ‘special’, every day is now a ‘special’ day for some political cause or other. Yesterday it was the turn of Earth Day. Earth Day is a day for environmentalists to predict the end of the Earth. They’ve been doing this since the very first Earth Day in 1970. That day the environmentalists made 7 predictions of what would befall the planet if the rest of us didn’t join their religion so we could all be ‘saved’.
Let’s see how the predictions have held up.
1: “Civilization Will End Within 15 or 30 Years.”
Harvard biologist Dr. George Wald warned shortly before the first Earth Day in 1970 that civilization would soon end “unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.” Three years before his projection, Wald was awarded the Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine.
2: “100-200 Million People Per Year Will Be Starving to Death During the Next Ten Years.”
Stanford professor Dr. Paul Ehrlich declared in April 1970 that mass starvation was imminent. His dire predictions failed to materialize as the number of people living in poverty has significantly declined and the amount of food per person has steadily increased, despite population growth. The world’s Gross Domestic Product per person has immeasurably increased despite increases in population.
3: “Population Will Inevitably and Completely Outstrip Whatever Small Increases in Food Supplies We Make.”
Paul Ehrlich also made the above claim in 1970, shortly before an agricultural revolution that caused the world’s food supply to rapidly increase.
Ehrlich has consistently failed to revise his predictions when confronted with the fact that they did not occur, stating in 2009 that “perhaps the most serious flaw in The Bomb was that it was much too optimistic about the future.”
4: “Demographers Agree Almost Unanimously … Thirty Years From Now, the Entire World … Will Be in Famine.”
Environmentalists in 1970 truly believed in a scientific consensus predicting global famine due to population growth in the developing world, especially in India.
India, where the famines were supposed to begin, recently became one of the world’s largest exporters of agricultural products and food supply per person in the country has drastically increased in recent years. In fact, the number of people in every country listed by Gunter has risen dramatically since 1970
5: “In A Decade, Urban Dwellers Will Have to Wear Gas Masks to Survive Air Pollution.”
Life magazine stated in January 1970 that scientist had “solid experimental and theoretical evidence” to believe that “in a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution … by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching Earth by one half.”
Despite the prediction, air quality has been improving worldwide according to the World Health Organization. Air pollution has also sharply declined in industrialized countries. Carbon dioxide (CO2), the gas environmentalists are worried about today, is odorless, invisible and harmless to humans in normal amounts.
6: “Childbearing [Will Be] A Punishable Crime Against Society, Unless the Parents Hold a Government License.”
David Brower, the first executive director of The Sierra Club made the above claim and went on to say that “[a]ll potential parents [should be] required to use contraceptive chemicals, the government issuing antidotes to citizens chosen for childbearing.” Brower was also essential in founding Friends of the Earth and the League Of Conservation Voters and much of the modern environmental movement.
Today, the only major government to ever get close to his vision has been China, which ended its one-child policy last October.
7: “By the Year 2000 … There Won’t Be Any More Crude Oil.”
On Earth Day in 1970 ecologist Kenneth Watt famously predicted that the world would run out of oil saying, “You’ll drive up to the pump and say, ‘Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, ‘I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
American oil and natural gas reserves are at their highest levels since 1972 and American oil production in 2014 was 80 percent higher than in 2008 thanks to fracking
Environmentalism is a fad. It too will pass. People got taken in for a while, and far too many governments have wasted far too much of our money on so-called ‘renewables’ and ‘sustainability’. With each latest prediction of doom more shrill than the last the people just turn their backs and say, ‘Yeah! Whatever!’
Is it any wonder optimistic people like me just laugh at the Greens who carry on believing this bullshit. This doesn’t stop us shaking our heads that governments buy into every new prediction of doom attempt at Alarmism but we know that the world, for all its problems, is a much better place than we found it in 1970. As a colleague of mine says – Utopia, you are living right in it.